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Posted on May 2, 2019 at 5:11 pm
Eric Karlene | Category: Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , ,

Nov 2018 – The 4th Quarter is Seasonally the Best Time to be a Buyer

New Listings Up 18% in October between $250K-$400K
The 4th Quarter is Seasonally the Best Time to be a Buyer

For Buyers:
Seasonally the 4th Quarter is the best time to be a buyer and this year is no exception.  Typically buyer contract activity is at its strongest from March through May and weakest between November and January.  Buyers who were out-bid by competing offers last Spring will have a different experience now.  October saw 18% more new listings hit the market between $250K-$400K compared to last October while buyer contracts are about the same within the same price range.  There was only a 1% increase in new listings in the lower price range between $200K-$250K but a 12% drop in buyer contracts which caused overall supply to rise another 11%.  The market is still a seller’s market, but more seller competition for fewer buyers translates into more price reductions and seller concessions until the Spring “Buyer Season” is upon us once again.

For Sellers:
The market may be softening between $200K-$400K (which accounts for over 56% of MLS sales), but that doesn’t mean sellers are getting a raw deal.  Monthly average sale prices per square foot in this price range have appreciated 5% since October last year and nearly 19% in last 5 years.  Under $200K, the appreciation rate is 9.5% in the past year and 44% in 5 years.    $400K-$800K has appreciated 6% in the last year and 14% in 5 years and the annual average sale price per square foot* over $800K has appreciated 3% in the last year and 10.5% in 5 years.  What’s happening underneath that contract price, however, is an increased cost to sell at “top dollar”.  That cost can take the shape of longer days on market with multiple price reductions, repairs, needed upgrades to the home prior to list and closing cost assistance.

*Annual averages are used in the higher price ranges to mitigate the sharp price fluctuations that affect this market.
Commentary written by Tina Tamboer, Senior Housing Analyst with The Cromford Report
©2018 Cromford Associates LLC and Tamboer Consulting LLC

Posted on November 14, 2018 at 4:53 pm
Eric Karlene | Category: Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , ,

Seller Price Reductions up 46% and 61% in these Price Ranges

Supply Continues to Rise in the Middle
Seller Price Reductions up 46% and 61% in these Price Ranges

For Buyers:
Overall supply is down 9.6% compared to last September.  At first glance that’s nothing new.  However, for those of you who pay close attention to our monthly infographic (I know you’re out there), you have no doubt noticed that last May supply was down 15.5%, June supply was down 12.2%, July was down 11.1% and August was down 9.9% from last August.   What this means for buyers is that the Greater Phoenix market is still in short supply, but it’s subtly becoming less bad.  Most significantly, supply continues to increase between $200K-$400K.  Last month we reported an 8.1% increase in listings between $200K-$250K since May, that is now 9.7%.  Between $250K-$300K, supply has risen 15% in only 8 weeks.  Between $300K-$400K, supply has slowly risen 10% since January.  All other price ranges are either declining in supply or following their normal seasonal trends.  This is great news for buyers; more choice in the marketplace means less negotiating pressure. However, don’t expect sale prices to plummet anytime soon. The first price to respond to a supply shift isn’t a sale price, it’s a list price in the form of a price reduction.

For Sellers:
Despite the increase in supply between $200K-$250K, there hasn’t been a correlating increase in weekly list price reductions from sellers yet.  However that is not the case for the market between $250K-$300K where weekly list price reductions have risen 46% in the past 8 weeks and weekly reductions between $300K-$400K have risen 61% since January.  This is not an indicator that sellers are becoming desperate. Make no mistake, there are very few desperate sellers in this marketplace. There are, however, many optimistic sellers who may be taming their expectations. Average annual price appreciation per square foot remains between 3.5% – 5.0% for sales between $200K-$400K, so it’s still a seller’s market despite recent developments.  Expect prices to continue increasing at least through the remainder of 2018.

Commentary written by Tina Tamboer, Senior Housing Analyst with The Cromford Report
©2018 Cromford Associates LLC and Tamboer Consulting LLC

Posted on September 11, 2018 at 4:51 pm
Eric Karlene | Category: Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , ,

10050 E Celtic Dr – Beautiful Scottsdale Remodel – Open House!

Posted on August 21, 2018 at 4:37 am
Eric Karlene | Category: Properties | Tagged , , , , , , ,